Kalshi Business — Mispricing Audit, 13 May 2026
Audit of active Kalshi business markets (Companies + Financials) closing within 45 days, with six trade picks and a $10,000 portfolio sized around them.
Kalshi market mispricing audits and podcast-to-prediction-market reports.
May 2026
Audit of active Kalshi business markets (Companies + Financials) closing within 45 days, with six trade picks and a $10,000 portfolio sized around them.
33 predictions across 17 episodes (politics, sports, markets, tech), 25 direct + 8 proxy Kalshi matches. Each row shows the side to take to copy the speaker, with live prices.
12 predictions extracted; 1 direct + 2 proxy Polymarket/Manifold matches. Includes audio scrubber tied to timestamps.
Audit of the May 8 Hard Fork episode about US regulation of prediction markets, mapped to Polymarket + Manifold.
April 2026
Top 5 picks + $10,000 portfolio across politics & elections markets resolving by 2026-06-01. Trump-China trip, Kash Patel exit, DHS funding. $1,400 expected EV. (Reportedly +$2,000 realized.)