# Kalshi Copy-the-Trade — Week of 2026-05-12

Date: 2026-06-12
Source: https://kalshi-audits.pages.dev/2026-06-12-kalshi-week-podcast-predictions

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# Kalshi Copy-the-Trade — Week of 2026-05-12

Cross-podcast prediction round-up, mapped to live Kalshi markets
5 predictions extracted from 17 episodes published 2026-05-06 → 2026-05-13 · 3 direct Kalshi matches, 0 proxy matches · prices snapshotted 2026-06-12 10:05 UTC
How to read this: we read this week's transcripts looking for concrete, near-term claims a speaker stuck their neck out on. For each one with a live Kalshi market, the green BET YES or red BET NO badge tells you which side to take to copy the speaker. The price is what you pay per share today; the dollar figure shows what $100 returns if the speaker is right. Direct matches are shown first.

5Predictions
3Direct Kalshi matches
0Proxy matches
2No market

Show:
All
Direct match
Proxy match
No market

Channel:
All channels
The MeidasTouch Podcast
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

| Source | Speaker | Prediction | Copy the trade → |
|---|---|---|---|
| The MeidasTouch Podcast 23:07 | Brett (host)medium near | Trump's claim of an imminent US-Iran nuclear deal signing is bluster; no real deal will actually be signed in the near term."Now, time will tell if Vance is sent somewhere to, I don't know, sign something. Who knows? But as of right now, there's just no evidence to point to that."foreign policy MeidasTouch Full Podcast - 6/12/26 | DIRECT MATCH[BET NOKalshi ↗NO costs 82¢**$100** → **$122** if speaker is rightWill the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?Why this side: The hosts dismiss Trump's 'signing within days' claim as bluster ('there's no deal'), so they are effectively betting NO on a finalized US-Iran deal before the Jul 1 cutoff.Low volume · closes 2026-07-01 · KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JULIf the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusairanagreement/us-iran-nuclear-deal/kxusairanagreement-27) |
| The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 10:20 | George Hahn (host)speculative medium | OpenAI is targeting a September 2026 IPO."Anthropic has filed confidentially for its own offering. OpenAI is targeting September."markets The Week: Iran, IPO Mania, and the New American Dream | DIRECT MATCH[BET YESKalshi ↗YES costs 19¢**$100** → **$526** if speaker is rightWhen will OpenAI IPO?Why this side: A September target means an IPO before Oct 1, so the Oct-1 market is YES (note the Sep-1 market would be NO since September is after Sep 1); flagged speculative because a target can slip.Low volume · closes 2026-10-01 · KXIPOOPENAI-26OCT01If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoopenai/when-will-openai-announce-ipo/kxipoopenai) |
| The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 10:20 | George Hahn (host)speculative medium | Anthropic has confidentially filed for an IPO and is expected to go public in the current IPO wave."Anthropic has filed confidentially for its own offering."markets The Week: Iran, IPO Mania, and the New American Dream | DIRECT MATCH[BET YESKalshi ↗YES costs 92¢**$100** → **$109** if speaker is rightWho will IPO before 2027?Why this side: A confidential filing amid the 2026 IPO wave points to Anthropic going public before Jan 1, 2027; speculative since a confidential filing is not yet a confirmed IPO.Low volume · closes 2027-01-01 · KXIPO-26-ANTHROPICIf Anthropic confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipo/ipos/kxipo-26) |
| The MeidasTouch Podcast 16:53 | Jordy (host)speculative long | Elon Musk will become the world's first trillionaire, aided by the SpaceX IPO."...having his SpaceX IPO launch on Friday, and he's gonna be the first trillionaire, and they don't wanna screw that up."business MeidasTouch Full Podcast - 6/12/26 | NO MARKETNo Kalshi market found that matches this prediction. |
| The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 10:20 | George Hahn (host)high near | SpaceX is going public today (June 12, 2026) in what is described as the largest IPO in history, raising ~$75B."SpaceX goes public today, raising seventy-five billion dollars in what is now officially the largest IPO in history, more than double Saudi Aramco's twenty nineteen record."markets The Week: Iran, IPO Mania, and the New American Dream | NO MARKETNo Kalshi market found that matches this prediction. |

**Method:** Predictions extracted by Gemini 2.5 Pro from per-segment transcripts in the Neon Postgres (table `segments`). 17 episodes selected this week (politics, sports, markets, tech) — extraction was tuned to keep only concrete, near/medium-horizon claims with a real chance of a Kalshi market existing, and to drop vague long-horizon takes. Each extracted prediction was searched against the local Kalshi market snapshot (790k markets, latest snapshot timestamps within the last hour) using keyword overlap; up to 12 candidates per prediction were passed back to Gemini, which judged direct/proxy/none and chose the YES/NO side to copy the speaker. Markets with YES ≥ 96¢ or NO ≥ 96¢ (effectively resolved) were dropped, as were markets closing within an hour.

**Payout math:** binary markets pay $1 per share if your side wins. So `$100 / buy_price = total payout if right`. A 25¢ YES share returns $4 per $1 you bet ($100 → $400). A 90¢ YES share returns $1.11 per $1 ($100 → $111). Profit is payout minus your stake.

**Disclaimer:** nothing here is investment advice. Prices were spot-snapshotted from a local mirror of the Kalshi feed and drift continuously — click through for live odds. The side choice is the model's reading of the prediction; verify on the market page before trading. Some prediction-extractor calls return identical predictions across two podcasts (e.g. the same series pick from two sports shows); these are kept as separate rows so you can see who said what.