Kalshi AI — Mispricing Audit (Sextant · openai/gpt-5.6-sol @xhigh)

2026-07-15 · category AI · budget $1000

0 picks · $0 deployed of $1000 · 12 logged rejects

TickerMarketSideConviction Consensus vs marketSizePer-model

Logged rejects (shadow-tracked for selection-skill)

TickerMarketWhy rejected
KXATPSETWINNER-26JUL15ALTDAR-2-ALTWill Daniel Altmaier win set 2 in the Daniel Altmaier vs Luciano Darderi matchno edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXITFWMATCH-26JUL15ZHALEM-LEMWill Tiphanie Lemaitre win the Zhang vs Lemaitre: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz Round of 32 match?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXITFWMATCH-26JUL15ZHALEM-ZHAWill Ruien Zhang win the Zhang vs Lemaitre: W75 Vitoria Gasteiz Round of 32 match?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXNPBGAME-26JUL140500CHISAI-SAIChiba Lotte Marines vs Saitama Seibu Lions winner?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXWTAMATCH-26JUL15HONPAR-HONWill Mai Hontama win the Hontama vs Parks: Round Of 16 match?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXCS2GAME-26JUL151330PHAPAIN-PHAWill Phantom win the Phantom vs. paiN CS2 match?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXWCAWARD-26GGLOVE-USIMOWill Unai Simon win the Golden Glove?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXWCFURTHESTADVANCING-26EUR-ESPWill Spain be the furthest advancing European nation in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?no edge after shrinkage (-2.0c < 2.0c)
KXWCMATCHUP-26FIN-ESPARGWill Spain play Argentina in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXWCMATCHUP-26FIN-ESPENGWill Spain play England in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup Final?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXCS2GAME-26JUL151330PHAPAIN-PAINWill paiN win the Phantom vs. paiN CS2 match?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXITFMATCH-26JUL15GAIDEL-DELWill Andrew Delgado win the Gaines Jr vs Delgado: M15 Rochester NY Round of 32 match?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)

Probabilities are subjective; contracts can resolve to zero. Not financial advice.