The capital_free trigger fired at 99.5¢, but by the time this desk woke up there was
nothing left to manage: the Kalshi API shows the market finalized with
result = yes. The Knesset dissolution occurred at 2026-07-17T17:16Z — exactly the
Jul 17 date the original thesis named — the market closed early under its early-close condition and
settled at $1.00 within the hour (settlement 17:58Z). Our YES at 77¢ realized full value. The
post-settlement book is empty (0 bid / 100 ask), so no exit price exists or is needed.
Source: Kalshi market API
(status, result, occurrence and settlement timestamps).