Kalshi Copy-the-Trade — Week of 2026-05-12

Cross-podcast prediction round-up, mapped to live Kalshi markets

4 predictions extracted from 17 episodes published 2026-05-06 → 2026-05-13 · 1 direct Kalshi matches, 2 proxy matches · prices snapshotted 2026-06-05 10:04 UTC

How to read this: we read this week's transcripts looking for concrete, near-term claims a speaker stuck their neck out on. For each one with a live Kalshi market, the green BET YES or red BET NO badge tells you which side to take to copy the speaker. The price is what you pay per share today; the dollar figure shows what $100 returns if the speaker is right. Direct matches are shown first.

Predictions

Direct Kalshi matches

Proxy matches

No market

Show:

Channel:

Source	Speaker	Prediction	Copy the trade →
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 5:14	George Hahn (host) medium near	OpenAI will go public (IPO) in 2026. "SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars." business The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal	DIRECT MATCH BET YESKalshi ↗ YES costs 81¢$100 → $123 if speaker is right When will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2027) Why this side: Speaker says OpenAI is set to go public 'this year' (2026); the market resolves YES if OpenAI confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, which covers all of 2026. Low volume · closes 2027-01-01 · `KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01` If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 5:14	George Hahn (host) speculative near	Anthropic will go public (IPO) in 2026. "SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars." business The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal	PROXY MATCH BET YESKalshi ↗ YES costs 95¢$100 → $105 if speaker is right When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2027) Why this side: Speaker says Anthropic is set to go public 'this year'; market resolves YES if Anthropic confirms/announces an IPO before Jan 1, 2027 (proxy: announcing an IPO precedes actually going public, but both fall in 2026 under the claim). Low volume · closes 2027-01-01 · `KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-27JAN01` If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 15:30	Scott Galloway medium near	Iran's IRGC has no incentive to make a deal, so the US and Iran will not reach a new nuclear agreement in 2026. "I see almost no reason that the IRGC would want a deal right now. I think they feel like we can have total and complete victory." foreign policy The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal	PROXY MATCH BET NOKalshi ↗ NO costs 49¢$100 → $204 if speaker is right Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? Why this side: Galloway argues the IRGC sees no reason to deal and is pursuing 'total victory' in an ongoing war, implying no US-Iran nuclear deal in 2026, so the speaker's view maps to NO on a market that resolves YES only if a deal is reached before Jan 1, 2027. Low volume · closes 2027-01-01 · `KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27` If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 5:14	George Hahn (host) medium near	SpaceX will go public (IPO) in 2026. "SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars." business The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal	NO MARKET No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.