# Sentinel — Position Review (AM) · 2026-07-10

Date: 2026-07-10
Source: https://kalshi-audits.pages.dev/2026-07-10-kalshi-sentinel-review-am

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# Sentinel — Position Review (AM)

2026-07-10 · 1 triggered pick reviewed · 1 exit / 0 hold / 0 skip

President signs more than 2 executive orders, Jun 28 – Jul 4, 2026
KXEOWEEK-26JUL04-2

NO
capital_free
thesis: intact
decision: EXIT @ 99¢

Entry87¢
Now (executable)99¢
Peak mark99.5¢
Our prob (NO)99%
YES bid/ask0 / 1¢
ClosesJul 18

      The measurement window ended six days ago with zero executive orders signed in it —
      the thesis didn't just hold, it effectively resolved in our favor. The
      Federal Register
      (the resolution source) shows the 2026 series ending at EO 14414, signed Jun 25; the
      White House EO listing
      agrees, and the FR public-inspection queue holds nothing pending. The Jun 29
      “Signs Executive Orders” video was mislabeled, as the original audit suspected — no numbered EO came from it.
      

Why exit rather than ride to settlement: latest expiration is Jul 18 — 8 days of locked
      capital for the final 1¢ — and the rules count any window-dated EO published right up to expiration, a small
      but total-loss tail. Selling NO at 99¢ locks in +12¢ (+13.8%) on the 87¢ entry. Liquidity is deep:
      74k+ contracts bid at the 99¢ exit.
    

      Evidence: Federal Register API, documents signed 2026-06-20 → 2026-07-10 = 3 EOs (14412, 14413 on Jun 22; 14414 on Jun 25) ·
      FR public inspection: empty · original audit:
      2026-07-01 politics mispricing audit

    Sentinel reviews only positions that tripped a mechanical price trigger; decisions are risk-reducing only (exit / hold / skip).
    Packet stats: 6 live picks · 2 quiet · 3 in cooldown.