Kalshi Entertainment — Mispricing Audit (Ballast · openai/gpt-5.6-terra @xhigh)

2026-07-15 · category Entertainment · budget $1000

0 picks · $0 deployed of $1000 · 12 logged rejects

TickerMarketSideConviction Consensus vs marketSizePer-model

Logged rejects (shadow-tracked for selection-skill)

TickerMarketWhy rejected
KXRT-ODY-97The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (-3.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-95The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (-3.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-93The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (1.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-94The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-YASWill Yash Patel be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Jul 17, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (-0.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-96The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (1.0c < 2.0c)
KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-TAYWill Taylor Brown be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Jul 17, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-ASHWill Ashley Trail be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Jul 17, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXRANKLISTSONGSPOTUSA-26AUG01-ARIWill Ariana Grande be #1 on the Any Spotify Daily Top Songs USA chart in July 2026?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXPUREALBUMS-MUS26JUL30-40KWill Music, Fashion, Film by Charli xcx have above 40000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the July 24, 2026 - July 30, 2026 tracking week?no edge after shrinkage (-5.0c < 2.0c)
KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUL17-FINWill Finley be eliminated from Love Island UK S13 before Jul 18, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26JUL20-LITTop US Netflix Show on Jul 20, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (-2.0c < 2.0c)

Probabilities are subjective; contracts can resolve to zero. Not financial advice.