| Source | Speaker | Prediction | Copy the trade → |
|---|---|---|---|
| The MeidasTouch Podcast 11:42 | Ben Meiselas (host) | A new US-Iran nuclear deal has been agreed and will be formally signed Friday (June 19) in Geneva by VP JD Vance and Iran's parliament leader, with terms already published by Iranian media. "The signing is gonna be Friday in Geneva. Uh, J.D. Vance, MB Galabaf will be signing this together. MB Galabaf, Iran parliament's leader, J.D. Vance, vice president." foreign policy Trump Appears Fatigued as Big Day Ends in Political Defeat | DIRECT MATCH BET YESKalshi ↗ YES costs 15¢$100 → $667 if speaker is right Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? Why this side: Host says terms are agreed and signing is set for Friday June 19 (before the Jul 1 cutoff), so the deal is reached in-window -> YES. Low volume · closes 2026-07-01 · KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JULIf the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. |
| The MeidasTouch Podcast 11:42 | Ben Meiselas (host) | Under the new Iran deal the US naval blockade is lifted immediately and the Strait of Hormuz reopens to traffic within thirty days. "reopening the Strait of Hormuz within thirty days under Iranian arrangements. Iran and Oman control, uh, the, the shipping lanes in the Strait of Hormuz." foreign policy Trump Appears Fatigued as Big Day Ends in Political Defeat | PROXY MATCH BET YESKalshi ↗ YES costs 57¢$100 → $175 if speaker is right Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before August 1, 2026? Why this side: Host predicts the blockade lifts and the strait reopens within 30 days (by ~mid-July); resumed traffic should push transit calls back above 60 before Aug 1 -> YES. Proxy: market measures transit volume, not a formal 'reopening'. Low volume · closes 2026-08-01 · KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before August 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. |
| Pardon My Take 1:13:14 | PMT host (Big Cat / Dan Katz) | After a dominant 4-0 win over Paraguay, the USMNT is playing great and will handle Australia next, implying the US advances out of World Cup Group D. "So now we get Australia and the Socceroos. No problem. We're- We're so good ... I- We're so [laughs] fucking good at soccer." sports The Knicks Win The NBA Title, The Hurricanes Lift The Cup, Zac And Memes Recap Their Game 5 From San Antonio, Mr Bing Bong Jerry O'Connell Surprises Hank In Studio + World Cup | NO MARKET No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction. |