Kalshi Entertainment — Mispricing Audit (Ballast · openai/gpt-5.6-terra @xhigh)

2026-07-16 · category Entertainment · budget $1000

0 picks · $0 deployed of $1000 · 12 logged rejects

TickerMarketSideConviction Consensus vs marketSizePer-model

Logged rejects (shadow-tracked for selection-skill)

TickerMarketWhy rejected
KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26JUL20-LITTop US Netflix Show on Jul 20, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-94The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXFEATURE-26SET-DONWill Don Toliver be featured on SET IN STONE?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-96The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-93The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-ASHWill Ashley Trail be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Jul 17, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXBIGBROTHERELIMINATION-26JUL16-TAYWill Taylor Brown be eliminated from Big Brother Season 28 before Jul 17, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXWCFIRSTSONG-26JUL20-INTOWill Into the Groove be the first song performed by any of Madonna, Shakira, or BTS (any member of BTS) during the FIFA World Cup 2026 Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXLIUKELIMINATIONW-26JUL17-FINWill Finley be eliminated from Love Island UK S13 before Jul 18, 2026?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-95The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (0.0c < 2.0c)
KXRT-ODY-92The Odyssey Rotten Tomatoes score?no edge after shrinkage (-1.0c < 2.0c)
KXALBUMEQUIV-ALB26JUL16-140KWill The Real Me by Future have above 140000 Album Equivalent Units during the July 10, 2026 -July 16, 2026 tracking week?no edge after shrinkage (-2.0c < 2.0c)

Probabilities are subjective; contracts can resolve to zero. Not financial advice.