# Sentinel — Position Review (AM) · 2026-07-18

Date: 2026-07-18
Source: https://kalshi-audits.pages.dev/2026-07-18-kalshi-sentinel-review-am

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# Sentinel — Position Review (AM)

2026-07-18 · 1 pick triggered · 0 exits · 0 holds · 1 settled (skip)

Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved before Aug 1, 2026?
KXKNESSET-27-AUG01

YES
capital_free
thesis: intact
decision: skip — settled YES @ $1.00

Entry77¢
Peak mid99.5¢
Settled100¢
P&L+23¢ (+29.9%)
New prob100%

    The `capital_free` trigger fired at 99.5¢, but by the time this desk woke up there was
    nothing left to manage: the Kalshi API shows the market **finalized** with
    **result = yes**. The Knesset dissolution occurred at 2026-07-17T17:16Z — exactly the
    Jul 17 date the original thesis named — the market closed early under its early-close condition and
    settled at $1.00 within the hour (settlement 17:58Z). Our YES at 77¢ realized full value. The
    post-settlement book is empty (0 bid / 100 ask), so no exit price exists or is needed.
    Source: [Kalshi market API](https://api.elections.kalshi.com/trade-api/v2/markets/KXKNESSET-27-AUG01)
    (status, result, occurrence and settlement timestamps).
  

    signal #263 · run 2026-07-06-kalshi-politics-mispricing-audit-sentinel
    · placed 2026-07-06T16:19Z · original model prob 85% · conviction: medium · topic: Politics