# Kalshi Copy-the-Trade — Week of 2026-05-12

Date: 2026-06-05
Source: https://kalshi-audits.pages.dev/2026-06-05-kalshi-week-podcast-predictions

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# Kalshi Copy-the-Trade — Week of 2026-05-12

Cross-podcast prediction round-up, mapped to live Kalshi markets
4 predictions extracted from 17 episodes published 2026-05-06 → 2026-05-13 · 1 direct Kalshi matches, 2 proxy matches · prices snapshotted 2026-06-05 10:04 UTC
How to read this: we read this week's transcripts looking for concrete, near-term claims a speaker stuck their neck out on. For each one with a live Kalshi market, the green BET YES or red BET NO badge tells you which side to take to copy the speaker. The price is what you pay per share today; the dollar figure shows what $100 returns if the speaker is right. Direct matches are shown first.

4Predictions
1Direct Kalshi matches
2Proxy matches
1No market

Show:
All
Direct match
Proxy match
No market

Channel:
All channels
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway

| Source | Speaker | Prediction | Copy the trade → |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 5:14 | George Hahn (host)medium near | OpenAI will go public (IPO) in 2026."SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars."business The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal | DIRECT MATCH[BET YESKalshi ↗YES costs 81¢**$100** → **$123** if speaker is rightWhen will OpenAI IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Why this side: Speaker says OpenAI is set to go public 'this year' (2026); the market resolves YES if OpenAI confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, which covers all of 2026.Low volume · closes 2027-01-01 · KXIPOOPENAI-27JAN01If OpenAI confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoopenai/when-will-openai-announce-ipo/kxipoopenai) |
| The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 5:14 | George Hahn (host)speculative near | Anthropic will go public (IPO) in 2026."SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars."business The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal | PROXY MATCH[BET YESKalshi ↗YES costs 95¢**$100** → **$105** if speaker is rightWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO? (Before Jan 1, 2027)Why this side: Speaker says Anthropic is set to go public 'this year'; market resolves YES if Anthropic confirms/announces an IPO before Jan 1, 2027 (proxy: announcing an IPO precedes actually going public, but both fall in 2026 under the claim).Low volume · closes 2027-01-01 · KXIPOANTHROPIC-DATE-27JAN01If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxipoanthropic/anthropic-ipo/kxipoanthropic-date) |
| The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 15:30 | Scott Gallowaymedium near | Iran's IRGC has no incentive to make a deal, so the US and Iran will not reach a new nuclear agreement in 2026."I see almost no reason that the IRGC would want a deal right now. I think they feel like we can have total and complete victory."foreign policy The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal | PROXY MATCH[BET NOKalshi ↗NO costs 49¢**$100** → **$204** if speaker is rightWill the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year?Why this side: Galloway argues the IRGC sees no reason to deal and is pursuing 'total victory' in an ongoing war, implying no US-Iran nuclear deal in 2026, so the speaker's view maps to NO on a market that resolves YES only if a deal is reached before Jan 1, 2027.Low volume · closes 2027-01-01 · KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27If the United States has agreed to, signed, or accepted a new Iran-US nuclear deal before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.](https://kalshi.com/markets/kxusairanagreement/us-iran-nuclear-deal/kxusairanagreement-27) |
| The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway 5:14 | George Hahn (host)medium near | SpaceX will go public (IPO) in 2026."SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are all set to go public this year at a combined valuation of roughly four trillion dollars."business The Week: AI, GLP-1s, and Scott's Iran War Reversal | NO MARKETNo Kalshi market found that matches this prediction. |

**Method:** Predictions extracted by Gemini 2.5 Pro from per-segment transcripts in the Neon Postgres (table `segments`). 17 episodes selected this week (politics, sports, markets, tech) — extraction was tuned to keep only concrete, near/medium-horizon claims with a real chance of a Kalshi market existing, and to drop vague long-horizon takes. Each extracted prediction was searched against the local Kalshi market snapshot (790k markets, latest snapshot timestamps within the last hour) using keyword overlap; up to 12 candidates per prediction were passed back to Gemini, which judged direct/proxy/none and chose the YES/NO side to copy the speaker. Markets with YES ≥ 96¢ or NO ≥ 96¢ (effectively resolved) were dropped, as were markets closing within an hour.

**Payout math:** binary markets pay $1 per share if your side wins. So `$100 / buy_price = total payout if right`. A 25¢ YES share returns $4 per $1 you bet ($100 → $400). A 90¢ YES share returns $1.11 per $1 ($100 → $111). Profit is payout minus your stake.

**Disclaimer:** nothing here is investment advice. Prices were spot-snapshotted from a local mirror of the Kalshi feed and drift continuously — click through for live odds. The side choice is the model's reading of the prediction; verify on the market page before trading. Some prediction-extractor calls return identical predictions across two podcasts (e.g. the same series pick from two sports shows); these are kept as separate rows so you can see who said what.