# Sentinel — Position Review (PM) · 2026-07-17

Date: 2026-07-17
Source: https://kalshi-audits.pages.dev/2026-07-17-kalshi-sentinel-review-pm

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# Sentinel — Position Review (PM)

2026-07-17 · 1 pick triggered · 1 exit / 0 hold / 0 skip

NO
Alito announces departure as Supreme Court justice before Aug 1, 2026
KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-AUG01

Entry → Now (Peak)86¢ → 99¢ (98.5¢)
Triggercapital_free
Thesisintact
Decisionexit
Our prob (NO)99%
Market implies~99–100%
ClosesAug 1 (~15d)

Thesis intact — exiting on capital efficiency, not doubt.
      The June 30 NPR retirement story was retracted by NPR and flatly denied by the Supreme Court's press office; since entry the evidence has only strengthened: Alito hired a full roster of four law clerks for the October 2026 term and is not expected to retire this term per sourced reporting, with a book launch due in October. No fresh announcement chatter surfaced in mid-July searches.
      With NO exiting at 99¢ (yes_ask 1¢), only 1¢ remains over ~15 days of locked capital — outside the ~7-day hold window for capital_free positions — so we bank the +13¢ (+15.1%) now. Liquidity is ample: ~674 contracts at 99¢, 10,000+ at 98¢.
    

    Source audit: [2026-07-01-kalshi-politics-mispricing-audit-sentinel](https://kalshi-audits.pages.dev/2026-07-01-kalshi-politics-mispricing-audit-sentinel) · signal #191 · placed 2026-07-02