Kalshi Copy-the-Trade — Week of 2026-05-12

Cross-podcast prediction round-up, mapped to live Kalshi markets
47 predictions extracted from 17 episodes published 2026-05-06 → 2026-05-13 · 13 direct Kalshi matches, 5 proxy matches · prices snapshotted 2026-05-13 06:24 UTC
How to read this: we read this week's transcripts looking for concrete, near-term claims a speaker stuck their neck out on. For each one with a live Kalshi market, the green BET YES or red BET NO badge tells you which side to take to copy the speaker. The price is what you pay per share today; the dollar figure shows what $100 returns if the speaker is right. Direct matches are shown first.
47
Predictions
13
Direct Kalshi matches
5
Proxy matches
29
No market
Show:
Channel:
SourceSpeakerPredictionCopy the trade →
First Take
36:49
Cam'ron
medium near
The Detroit Pistons will defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers to win their current playoff series.
"Right now I'm still going with the Pistons. Everybody did what they're supposed to do. Nobody has won on the road yet, so I'm still going with the Pistons."
sports Hour 2: Should The Celtics Trade Jaylen Brown?
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 58¢$100$172 if speaker is right
Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts that the Pistons will win their current playoff series against the Cavaliers, which directly matches the market for Detroit winning the series.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-02 · KXNBASERIES-26CLEDETR2-DET
If Detroit wins the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
First Take
36:49
Jay Williams
medium near
The Cleveland Cavaliers will win their playoff series against the Detroit Pistons.
"Cam, I'm, I'm gonna go with Cleveland here. Like I said earlier when we picked who I thought was gonna win the series, I think, I think people are starting to figure out Cade Cunningham and all the styles in which they have, and Detroit looks tired."
sports Hour 2: Should The Celtics Trade Jaylen Brown?
DIRECT MATCH
BET NOKalshi ↗
NO costs 43¢$100$233 if speaker is right
Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner?
Why this side: The speaker predicts Cleveland will win the series against Detroit. The market asks if Detroit will win the series. If Cleveland wins, Detroit loses, so the market resolves NO.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-02 · KXNBASERIES-26CLEDETR2-DET
If Detroit wins the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
First Take
36:49
Stephen A. Smith
medium near
The Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.
"For me personally, listen, I'm still buying the Pistons because I think that on their home turf they're a different beast to deal with."
sports Hour 2: Should The Celtics Trade Jaylen Brown?
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 58¢$100$172 if speaker is right
Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts that the Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers, which directly matches the market's YES condition.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-02 · KXNBASERIES-26CLEDETR2-DET
If Detroit wins the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pardon My Take
30:42
Big Cat
medium near
The Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers.
"I would take the Pistons in this series, but I, I, I'm, I'm down for James Harden to maybe get into a game six or seven."
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 58¢$100$172 if speaker is right
Cleveland vs Detroit 2026 2nd Round series winner?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts the Detroit Pistons will win their playoff series against the Cleveland Cavaliers, matching this market's YES condition.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-02 · KXNBASERIES-26CLEDETR2-DET
If Detroit wins the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pivot
31:14
Kara Swisher
high near
SpaceX will hold an initial public offering in June.
"SpaceX is of course preparing to go public with one of the largest IPO offerings in June."
markets Midterm Map Wars, AirPods Revamp, and Trump Phone Grift
DIRECT MATCH
BET NOKalshi ↗
NO costs 89¢$100$112 if speaker is right
When will SpaceX IPO?
Why this side: Speaker predicts an IPO in June. Since 'in June' is not 'before June 1', the speaker being right implies the market resolves NO.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-01 · KXIPOSPACEX-26JUN01
If SpaceX confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
5:03
Joe House
high near
The Washington Wizards will select AJ Dybantsa with the number one overall pick in the NBA Draft.
"The Wizards are not calling anybody, Tate... The Wizards' phone is sitting here waiting. Yeah, they're taking AJ"
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 64¢$100$156 if speaker is right
Will AJ Dybantsa be drafted by Washington?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts that the Washington Wizards will select AJ Dybantsa in the draft, directly matching this market.
Low volume · closes 2026-07-02 · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26ADYB-WSH
If AJ Dybantsa is selected by Washington in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
36:06
Bill Simmons
speculative medium
The Boston Celtics are the favorites to acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo in a trade.
"I would say the Celtics are probably, probably the favorite at this point to get Giannis, unless Dallas got aggressive."
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 18¢$100$556 if speaker is right
What will be Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team?
Why this side: The speaker predicts the Celtics are the favorites to acquire Giannis Antetokounmpo, which directly matches the market for his next team being Boston.
Low volume · closes 2026-10-21 · KXNEXTTEAMNBA-26GANT-BOS
If Giannis Antetokounmpo's next team is Boston before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
46:23
Tate Frazier
medium near
The Sacramento Kings will trade up to the number five pick to draft Darius Acuff.
"I think they're gonna try to trade up. I think they're gonna try to get to five and get Acuff. I really do."
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 25¢$100$400 if speaker is right
Will Darius Acuff be drafted by Sacramento?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts that the Sacramento Kings will draft Darius Acuff.
Low volume · closes 2026-07-02 · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26DACU-SAC
If Darius Acuff is selected by Sacramento in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
56:27
Chris Vernon
high near
AJ Dybantsa will be drafted first overall, and Darryn Peterson will be drafted second overall by the Utah Jazz.
"I think the expectation is is that, right? That Banso will go one, Peterson will go two, because they don't need a four in Utah."
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 56¢$100$179 if speaker is right
Will Darryn Peterson be drafted by Utah?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts that Darryn Peterson will be drafted by the Utah Jazz (second overall).
Low volume · closes 2026-07-02 · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26DPET-UTA
If Darryn Peterson is selected by Utah in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
1:17:30
Chris Vernon
speculative near
The New York Knicks and Detroit Pistons will meet in the Eastern Conference Finals.
"I think it will eventually be New York and Detroit, and go look at those games this year. Detroit pumped them out."
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 58¢$100$172 if speaker is right
Will Detroit vs New York be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts that the New York Knicks and Detroit Pistons will meet in the Eastern Conference Finals, which directly matches this market's YES condition.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-03 · KXTEAMSINNBAEF-26-DETNYK
If Detroit vs New York is confirmed to be the matchup in the 2026 Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
1:43:01
Chris Vernon
medium near
The Memphis Grizzlies will select Cam Boozer with the third overall pick in the NBA Draft.
"If you put my head on a guillotine today, I'd tell you they take Boozer, but I wanna watch this whole thing play out."
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 50¢$100$200 if speaker is right
Will Cameron Boozer be drafted by Memphis?
Why this side: The speaker explicitly predicts that the Memphis Grizzlies will select Cam Boozer, which directly matches the market's YES condition.
Low volume · closes 2026-07-02 · KXNBADRAFTTEAM-26CBOO-MEM
If Cameron Boozer is selected by Memphis in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
9:00
Scott Galloway
medium near
Donald Trump will publicly announce Chinese commitments to purchase Boeing aircraft during his China trip.
"China will likely promise to increase purchases of American agricultural products and Boeing aircraft as a result of the Trump-Xi summit."
foreign policy China Decode: The Trump-Xi Meeting That Could Reshape the Global Economy
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 83¢$100$120 if speaker is right
Boeing aircraft purchases
Why this side: Speaker predicts a Boeing-purchase announcement from the China trip; market resolves YES if Trump issues that announcement.
Low volume · closes 2026-05-17 · KXCHINAANNOUNCE-26MAY-MAY17-BOEING
If Donald Trump has made any official announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) securing Chinese purchases of Boeing aircraft before May 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
9:00
Scott Galloway
medium near
Donald Trump will publicly announce Chinese commitments to purchase U.S. soybeans/agricultural products during his China trip.
"China will likely promise to increase purchases of American agricultural products and Boeing aircraft as a result of the Trump-Xi summit."
foreign policy China Decode: The Trump-Xi Meeting That Could Reshape the Global Economy
DIRECT MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 75¢$100$133 if speaker is right
U.S. soybean purchases
Why this side: Same speaker, agriculture half of the prediction; soybeans market resolves YES on the corresponding announcement.
Low volume · closes 2026-05-17 · KXCHINAANNOUNCE-26MAY-MAY17-SOYA
If Donald Trump has made any official announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) securing Chinese purchases of U.S. soybeans before May 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pardon My Take
35:52
Hank
speculative medium
LeBron James will retire or leave the Lakers, making this his final game for the franchise.
"I think the golfing, the golf bug might have convinced LeBron James to, to forgo another full year in the NBA... This is his last game for the Lakers."
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
PROXY MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 21¢$100$476 if speaker is right
Will LeBron James announce his retirement in 2026?
Why this side: Speaker predicts LeBron will forgo another year in the NBA (retire), which would lead to him announcing retirement before the 2026-27 season.
Low volume · closes 2026-10-31 · KXLBJRETIRE-26
If LeBron James announces their retirement before the date of the first 2026-27 season regular season game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pardon My Take
1:58:14
Paul Bissonnette
speculative near
If the Montreal Canadiens take a 3-1 series lead, they will successfully close out the series against the Buffalo Sabres.
"if Montreal takes a 3-1 series lead, there's, I, I think they're gonna close that thing out and they're, they're gonna move on to Car- play Carolina."
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
PROXY MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 49¢$100$204 if speaker is right
Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres 2026 2nd Round series winner?
Why this side: The speaker predicts Montreal will close out the series and advance if they take a 3-1 lead, which serves as a proxy for Montreal winning the series.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-03 · KXNHLSERIES-26MTLBUFR2-MTL
If the Montreal Canadiens win the Montreal Canadiens vs Buffalo Sabres 2nd Round series in the 2026 NHL playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Pod Save America
46:50
Tommy Vietor
medium long
Democrats will take control of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterms despite Republican redistricting gains.
"Democrats won the House popular vote by eight in 2018. So if we're thinking and hoping and expecting this cycle to be better than 2018, then we should have no problem in the House."
elections AOC vs. Bezos
PROXY MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 32¢$100$312 if speaker is right
D-House, R-Senate
Why this side: Speaker predicts Dems take the House; DR is the categorical bucket where House=D & Senate=R (closest to status quo Senate).
Low volume · closes 2027-02-01 · KXBALANCEPOWERCOMBO-27FEB-DR
If ALL of the following occur on Feb 1, 2027: House Control: Democratic, Senate Control: Republican, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
1:32:56
Joe House
high near
The Detroit Pistons will defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers in five games in their playoff series.
"I do not believe the Cavaliers are gonna beat the Pistons. I, I just- I, I, I have Detroit in, uh, five. I think they win game four and game five."
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
PROXY MATCH
BET YESKalshi ↗
YES costs 26¢$100$385 if speaker is right
Will Detroit cover -1.5 games in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs?
Why this side: Speaker predicts Detroit wins the series 4-1 (in 5 games). Winning by 3 games means Detroit covers the -1.5 game spread.
Low volume · closes 2026-06-02 · KXNBASERIESSPREAD-26CLEDETR2-DET2
If Detroit wins by more than 1.5 games in the Cleveland vs Detroit 2nd Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball Playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
11:40
Scott Galloway
medium near
China will NOT announce acceptance of imported Nvidia H200 chips during the Trump-Xi summit.
"China will not announce the acceptance of imported Nvidia H200 chips during the upcoming Trump-Xi summit."
tech China Decode: The Trump-Xi Meeting That Could Reshape the Global Economy
PROXY MATCH
BET NOKalshi ↗
NO costs 47¢$100$213 if speaker is right
U.S.-China AI safety channel
Why this side: Speaker predicts no chip acceptance announcement. Closest market is the U.S.-China AI safety channel; proxy because it's adjacent, not identical.
Low volume · closes 2026-05-17 · KXCHINAANNOUNCE-26MAY-MAY17-AISA
If Donald Trump has made any official announcement (e.g., Truth Social post) establishing a U.S.-China AI safety communication channel before May 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Hard Fork
15:28
Kevin Roose
high medium
The U.S. government will introduce new regulations on prediction markets by the end of the year, specifically targeting trading by military personnel and members of Congress.
"I think I would put a high percentage, m- probability mass on that. Like, I think that at least when it comes to the obvious and flagrant abuses of, like, say, a position in Congress or a position in the military... they will do something about that."
regulation Can the U.S. Rein in Prediction Markets? + Joanna Stern on Her Year of A.I. Experiments + Our Producer Goes to Attention School
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pardon My Take
35:52
Big Cat
high near
The Oklahoma City Thunder will sweep the Los Angeles Lakers in four games.
"they're gonna steamroll the Lakers, four games, and then, um, I don't know. They, the, the playoffs don't start for the Thunder until the conference finals."
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pardon My Take
30:42
Hank
high medium
The New York Knicks will win the NBA Finals this year.
"I would be shocked if this team doesn't win the NBA Finals. No, the Knicks look awesome."
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pardon My Take
45:56
PFT
high near
The Washington Wizards will select AJ Dabanja with their first-round pick in the NBA Draft.
"I think AJ D'Antetti has to be the pick. I think that's gotta be the pick. Um, I've seen some- You don't wanna tip your hand, dude. Yeah, it's probably gonna be AJ."
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pardon My Take
1:53:09
Paul Bissonnette
medium near
The Colorado Avalanche will bounce back and win Game 4 against the Minnesota Wild.
"I believe that Colorado will bounce back in game four, but I also believe in Minnesota and the culture that they've built"
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pardon My Take
2:08:17
Paul Bissonnette
high near
Matthew Shafer will win the Calder Memorial Trophy for NHL Rookie of the Year.
"Matthew Shafer is gonna win the Calder for Rookie of the Year. Uh, he had probably the greatest rookie season for a defenseman in the history of the NHL this year"
sports Paul Bissonnette Talking Stanley Cup Playoffs, Sixers Get Swept By The Knicks, NBA Draft Lottery, Aliens Are Back And More
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pivot
26:04
Scott Galloway
speculative medium
Apple will replace Siri by licensing an AI assistant from another company.
"I think they're gonna shitcan Siri and license it to someone else for tens of billions of dollars."
AI Midterm Map Wars, AirPods Revamp, and Trump Phone Grift
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pivot
42:28
Kara Swisher
high medium
The previously announced Trump mobile phone will not be released or shipped to customers.
"I mean, the Trump phone, which Scott and I both said was never gonna happen, is not gonna happen, people."
business Midterm Map Wars, AirPods Revamp, and Trump Phone Grift
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pivot
57:46
Scott Galloway
high medium
Ken Griffin will pull his planned capital investments out of Manhattan and move them to Florida and Texas.
"He's absolutely gonna take capital he was investing in Manhattan and move it to Florida and Texas..."
business Midterm Map Wars, AirPods Revamp, and Trump Phone Grift
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pod Save America
20:52
Host (quoting Kevin Hassett)
high medium
Oil prices will drop quickly before the midterm elections.
"Kevin Hassett... just said oil prices will drop quickly before the midterms once, quote, 'The gusher opens.'"
economy AOC vs. Bezos
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Pod Save America
36:22
Host (quoting Amy Walter)
medium medium
Republicans will realistically gain about five House seats from the new congressional maps.
"Amy Walter at, uh, Cook Political basically said the same thing... I think she thinks that when all is said and done, the realistic gain is probably, like, five seats, um, in, in a, in a, in a good scenario."
elections AOC vs. Bezos
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Bill Simmons Podcast
1:43:01
Chris Vernon
high medium
Ja Morant will be traded or leave the Memphis Grizzlies.
"So you think Morant's gone, whatever happens? Yes. That's your take, yeah."
sports The Wizards Win (Something!) and More Lottery Reactions, Plus the Juggernaut Knicks With Joe House, Tate Frazier, and Chris Vernon
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Journal.
0:00
Chao Deng
speculative medium
US inflation will reach 4% to 5% later this year.
"some of the analysts I was talking to today were talking about inflation at 4, even 5% as the year goes on."
economy Trump and Xi to Meet in China: What’s at Stake
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Journal.
0:00
Chao Deng
high near
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in the near term following the recent inflation report.
"investors started the year talking about potential rate cuts by the Fed, and this report pretty much takes that all off the table."
economy Trump and Xi to Meet in China: What’s at Stake
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Journal.
2:43
Chao Deng (WSJ)
high near
The Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates at its June 2026 meeting following the high inflation report.
"investors started the year talking about potential rate cuts by the Fed, and this report pretty much takes that all off the table."
economy Trump and Xi to Meet in China: What’s at Stake
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The MeidasTouch Podcast
0:00
Ben Meiselas
high near
The United States will launch a new military invasion of Iran called Operation Sledgehammer.
"when that is done, then there will be Operation Sledgehammer, and then this will be yet another catastrophic invasion of Iran."
foreign policy Tuesday Afternoon Breaking News Updates with Ben - 5/12/26
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The MeidasTouch Podcast
0:00
Ben Meiselas
medium near
The ceasefire in Iran will collapse and the war will resume as soon as Donald Trump's upcoming trip to China.
"And when the war resumes, which I believe is likely gonna take place as soon as Donald Trump's trip to China, which is sure to be an absolute disaster, when that is done, then there will be Operation Sledgehammer..."
foreign policy Tuesday Afternoon Breaking News Updates with Ben - 5/12/26
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The MeidasTouch Podcast
45:56
Ben Meiselas
high medium
The US military budget will be increased to $1.5 trillion as a result of the ongoing conflict.
"this will now cause, you know, as a result of these failures, we have to increase our military budget by, you know, one... now it's gotta be $1.5 trillion."
politics Tuesday Afternoon Breaking News Updates with Ben - 5/12/26
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The MeidasTouch Podcast
45:56
Ben Meiselas
high medium
Interest rates will not be reduced due to the economic fallout and debt increases from the ongoing conflict.
"nor are they even counting the consequential and incidental expenses, like the fact that interest rates are not gonna be reduced, the fact that our debt will continue to increase"
economy Tuesday Afternoon Breaking News Updates with Ben - 5/12/26
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The MeidasTouch Podcast
40:00
Ben Meiselas
high medium
The Federal Reserve will not reduce interest rates due to the economic fallout from the Iran conflict.
"interest rates will not be reduced due to the economic fallout and debt increases from the ongoing conflict"
economy Tuesday Afternoon Breaking News Updates with Ben - 5/12/26
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
2:42
Alice Han
speculative near
China will likely promise to increase purchases of American agricultural products and Boeing aircraft as a result of the Trump-Xi summit.
"Maybe a Chinese promise to, to increase ag purchases and Boeing purchases coming out of the summit."
foreign policy China Decode: The Trump-Xi Meeting That Could Reshape the Global Economy
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
41:27
James King
medium medium
Chinese exports of renewable energy technologies, including solar batteries and electric vehicles, will rise by at least 30% this year compared to last year.
"So my prediction is that the exports of these items will rise this year by at least 30% compared to last year, twenty twenty five."
economy China Decode: The Trump-Xi Meeting That Could Reshape the Global Economy
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Prof G Pod with Scott Galloway
41:27
Alice Han
medium near
China will not announce the acceptance of imported Nvidia H200 chips during the upcoming Trump-Xi summit.
"the H200s that have been formally approved by the Americans for sale to China will probably not be announced by the Chinese, uh, in terms of accepted imports."
tech China Decode: The Trump-Xi Meeting That Could Reshape the Global Economy
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Rest Is Politics
53:21
Rory Stewart
speculative near
Kamala Harris will defeat Donald Trump to win the US presidential election.
"It's a bit like me saying I don't think Trump's gonna be president, I think that Kamala Harris is gonna win."
elections 531. Starmer on the Brink: What Next?
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Rest Is Politics
58:25
Rory Stewart
high near
Keir Starmer will remain Prime Minister by the end of the day and will not step down.
"Yeah, I think he'll definitely be prime minister by the end of the day. I think he's gonna, he's, he's gonna, he's gonna Joe Biden it."
politics 531. Starmer on the Brink: What Next?
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Ringer NBA Show
52:08
Raja Bell
medium near
The New York Knicks will win their next playoff series, benefiting from their extended rest period.
"I think ultimately, you know, the way these playoffs have been kind of every other night... the accumulation of games and the miles on the odometer of the other teams are gonna be too much for them to overcome... I think they take care of business."
sports Thunder Sweep Lakers. What’s Next for LeBron? | Real Ones
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Ringer NBA Show
10:22
Logan Murdock
medium medium
LeBron James will return to play for the Los Angeles Lakers next season.
"I do in my heart of hearts think the Lakers at, in this-... iteration of them give them exactly what he would want if he were to come back."
sports Thunder Sweep Lakers. What’s Next for LeBron? | Real Ones
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
The Ringer NBA Show
52:08
Raja Bell
high near
The Detroit Pistons will defeat the Cleveland Cavaliers in Game 5 of their playoff series.
"I said all that to say I think Detroit wins game five. They're going home. I don't think they get, I don't think they get pummeled on the, uh, on the free throws like they did in that game."
sports Thunder Sweep Lakers. What’s Next for LeBron? | Real Ones
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.
Today, Explained
4:40
Alice Miranda Ollstein
speculative near
The Supreme Court may avoid ruling on the core issue of abortion pill access by dismissing the case on the grounds that Louisiana lacks standing.
"It's very possible that, you know, once again, they sort of duck the heart of the issue on abortion, on federal power versus state power, and they just say, "Nah, you don't have standing.""
politics Abortion pills at the Supreme Court
NO MARKET
No Kalshi market found that matches this prediction.